Ways out
Ways out of debt: options, not advice
Imagine Sri Lanka is a family business that also keeps a household running, and it owes a large loan. Here are eight ways to deal with it, how each has worked elsewhere, and what each costs.
These pages describe options and what happened when countries tried them. Budgets LK does not recommend any option, and nothing here is a forecast or financial advice.
The house version
Debt next to income
96.8% of GDP
GDP is everything the country earns in a year. If Sri Lanka were a family earning Rs 100,000 a month, this would be a loan of about Rs 1,162,000, nearly a full year of the family's income.
IMF, general government gross debt, 2025. The economy
Loan payments next to spending
about Rs 50 in every Rs 100
In the 2026 Act, debt servicing is Rs 4.47 trillion of Rs 8.98 trillion of total spending. In house terms, about Rs 50 of every Rs 100 the family spends goes to the bank before anything else is paid.
Eight options
Open any option to see how it works, how long it takes, what makes it hard, how people and the wider world may react, and the pros and cons.
Side by side
| Option | Speed | Who has to agree | Who feels it first |
|---|---|---|---|
| Collect more tax | Medium | Parliament. Lenders and the IMF often ask for it in a programme. | Households and businesses that pay the new or higher taxes. |
| Spend less | Medium | Parliament and the Treasury. Lenders often ask for it in a programme. | People who use the services or are paid from the spending that is reduced. |
| Grow the economy | Slow | Mostly private businesses and investors, plus stable government policy. | Workers and firms in growing sectors. Others may feel change as industries shift. |
| Ask lenders for easier terms | Medium | Every group of lenders. The IMF usually has to confirm the debt will be sustainable. | Lenders, who lose some value. Domestic holders such as banks and pension funds can be affected if domestic debt is included. |
| Sell or lease what the state owns | Medium | Buyers or investors, and public acceptance. | Workers and customers of the asset sold, and the public who may value it as national property. |
| Print more money | Fast | The central bank, and the laws that limit or allow it. | Everyone who holds rupees, especially savers and people on fixed incomes. |
| Combine several options | Slow | Government, parliament, lenders and the IMF. | Several groups at once, as each lever lands on different people. |
| Change nothing | Slow | Nobody has to agree, which is part of why it can happen by default. | At first nobody. Later, whoever bears the cost when lenders stop lending. |
Try the numbers
Move the sliders, or pick an example. The line shows debt as a share of GDP. The dotted line is the 95% goal the IMF programme sets for 2032. Want to set tax, spending, loans and more yourself? Try your strategy.
Growth, inflation and the primary surplus follow the IMF figures shown on this site for 2030.
Each year, debt as a share of GDP = last year's share × (1 + interest rate) ÷ (1 + growth of GDP in rupees) − primary surplus. Growth in rupees combines real growth and inflation. Debt starts at 96.8% of GDP in 2025 (IMF, general government gross debt). The interest rate is the Central Bank's actual interest paid in 2025 divided by central government debt at the end of 2025. This is a simple illustration with the settings you choose, not a forecast, and it cannot show shocks such as exchange rate moves or new borrowing for other reasons.